Marinhense vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 0
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 4
BEN
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 3
POM
25%
23%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 1
BEN
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
PAM
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 2
BEN
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BEN
3 - 0
CRA
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |