Non League Premier Norte round 15

Marine vs Workington analysis

Marine Workington
48 ELO 43
5.3% Tilt -10.9%
4789º General ELO ranking 7003º
173º Country ELO ranking 302º
ELO win probability
58.6%
Marine
21.1%
Draw
20.2%
Workington

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
Marine
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.2%
Win probability
Workington
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marine
-32%
+31%
Workington

Points and table prediction

Marine
Their league position
Workington
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
14º
44
21º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radcliffe Borough
90
93
100%
Macclesfield Town
80
83
82%
Marine
79
82
72.5%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
75
79
80%
Worksop Town
73
76
89.5%
Hyde
70
71
90%
Ashton United
70
70
98.5%
Ilkeston Town FC
66
66
60%
Gainsborough Trinity
63
66
52%
Lancaster City
11º
62
65
10º
24%
Whitby Town
10º
62
63
11º
45.5%
Guiseley
12º
61
62
12º
70.5%
Morpeth Town
13º
56
56
13º
88.5%
Matlock Town
14º
53
53
14º
20%
United of Manchester
15º
52
53
15º
27.5%
Bamber Bridge
16º
47
48
16º
48.5%
Marske United
22º
24
48
17º
20%
Workington
17º
44
44
18º
71.5%
Basford United
18º
37
38
19º
85%
Bradford Park Avenue
19º
33
33
20º
70.5%
Stafford Rangers
20º
30
31
21º
71%
Atherton Collieries
21º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marine
Workington
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Marine
Workington
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marine
Marine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
WOR
Worksop Town
0 - 1
Marine
MAR
71%
18%
12%
47 53 6 0
11 Nov. 2023
MAR
Marine
1 - 1
Ashton United
ASH
55%
23%
23%
47 44 3 0
04 Nov. 2023
MAR
Marine
1 - 5
Harrogate Town
TOW
22%
22%
57%
48 56 8 -1
28 Oct. 2023
STI
St Ives Town
3 - 1
Marine
MAR
15%
21%
64%
50 34 16 -2
24 Oct. 2023
GUI
Guiseley
4 - 2
Marine
MAR
26%
26%
47%
51 43 8 -1

Matches

Workington
Workington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
WHI
Whitby Town
1 - 1
Workington
WOR
58%
22%
20%
42 49 7 0
18 Nov. 2023
BAS
Basford United
0 - 3
Workington
WOR
34%
25%
41%
40 38 2 +2
11 Nov. 2023
GUI
Guiseley
4 - 3
Workington
WOR
60%
22%
19%
40 47 7 0
24 Oct. 2023
MAR
Marske United
3 - 0
Workington
WOR
22%
22%
55%
42 30 12 -2
21 Oct. 2023
WOR
Workington
2 - 3
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
53%
23%
24%
42 41 1 0