FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 4-3
Marine vs Scarborough Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
WIT
0 - 0
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 4
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
STA
3 - 2
MAR
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HYD
2 - 3
SCA
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 1
WHI
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
SCA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 2
MAT
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HED
0 - 1
SCA
21%
23%
57%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |