Marine vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
RYL
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 1
MAR
11%
19%
71%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
BOO
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
RUN
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
RYL
2 - 1
MOS
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
RAM
1 - 2
MOS
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 0
GLO
61%
22%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BOO
3 - 0
MOS
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |