Marine vs City of Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
WRE
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
WRE
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
KID
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
187
1 - 2
MAR
17%
20%
64%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
ATH
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
City of Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CIT
0 - 0
TRA
33%
23%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CIT
0 - 1
187
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CIT
0 - 1
COL
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 6
BUX
17%
20%
63%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
RUN
3 - 3
CIT
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |