Marine vs Basford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
STA
3 - 2
MAR
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
PRE
2 - 2
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FAR
3 - 0
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
WHI
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 2
HED
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HYD
1 - 0
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 3
NOT
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
BOS
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
5 - 0
BAS
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -3 |