Non League Premier Norte round 17

Marine vs Ashton United analysis

Marine Ashton United
46 ELO 44
2.5% Tilt -9.7%
4790º General ELO ranking 5372º
173º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
54.6%
Marine
22.5%
Draw
23%
Ashton United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
Marine
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23%
Win probability
Ashton United
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marine
-32%
-14%
Ashton United

Points and table prediction

Marine
Their league position
Ashton United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
14º
70
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radcliffe Borough
90
93
100%
Macclesfield Town
80
83
82%
Marine
79
82
72.5%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
75
79
80%
Worksop Town
73
76
89.5%
Hyde
70
71
90%
Ashton United
70
70
98.5%
Ilkeston Town FC
66
66
60%
Gainsborough Trinity
63
66
52%
Lancaster City
11º
62
65
10º
24%
Whitby Town
10º
62
63
11º
45.5%
Guiseley
12º
61
62
12º
70.5%
Morpeth Town
13º
56
56
13º
88.5%
Matlock Town
14º
53
53
14º
20%
United of Manchester
15º
52
53
15º
27.5%
Bamber Bridge
16º
47
48
16º
48.5%
Marske United
22º
24
48
17º
20%
Workington
17º
44
44
18º
71.5%
Basford United
18º
37
38
19º
85%
Bradford Park Avenue
19º
33
33
20º
70.5%
Stafford Rangers
20º
30
31
21º
71%
Atherton Collieries
21º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marine
Ashton United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Marine
Ashton United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marine
Marine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
MAR
Marine
1 - 5
Harrogate Town
TOW
22%
22%
57%
48 56 8 0
28 Oct. 2023
STI
St Ives Town
3 - 1
Marine
MAR
15%
21%
64%
50 34 16 -2
24 Oct. 2023
GUI
Guiseley
4 - 2
Marine
MAR
26%
26%
47%
51 43 8 -1
21 Oct. 2023
MAR
Marine
2 - 1
Lancaster City
LAN
61%
21%
18%
50 44 6 +1
17 Oct. 2023
MAR
Marine
1 - 2
Macclesfield Town
MAC
39%
26%
35%
50 52 2 0

Matches

Ashton United
Ashton United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
ASH
Ashton United
2 - 2
Bamber Bridge
BAM
48%
24%
28%
44 43 1 0
28 Oct. 2023
RED
Redditch United
3 - 0
Ashton United
ASH
31%
24%
46%
45 41 4 -1
24 Oct. 2023
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
2 - 2
Ashton United
ASH
38%
25%
38%
45 42 3 0
21 Oct. 2023
ASH
Ashton United
0 - 2
Radcliffe Borough
RAD
31%
26%
44%
46 52 6 -1
17 Oct. 2023
ASH
Ashton United
5 - 0
Matlock Town
MAT
44%
24%
32%
44 44 0 +2