Paulista A1 . Jor. 5

Marília vs São Paulo analysis

Marília São Paulo
61 ELO 86
7.3% Tilt -2.4%
3607º General ELO ranking 46º
120º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.4%
Marília
20%
Draw
65.6%
São Paulo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
Marília
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.6%
Win probability
São Paulo
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marília
-9%
-9%
São Paulo

ELO progression

Marília
São Paulo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marília
Marília
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2006
JUV
CA Juventus
1 - 1
Marília
MAR
32%
24%
45%
61 54 7 0
22 Jan. 2006
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 2
Marília
MAR
80%
14%
7%
62 83 21 -1
18 Jan. 2006
ITU
Ituano
2 - 1
Marília
MAR
55%
22%
24%
62 65 3 0
15 Jan. 2006
MAR
Marília
1 - 2
Palmeiras
PAL
22%
23%
55%
63 82 19 -1
11 Jan. 2006
PPE
Ponte Preta
1 - 2
Marília
MAR
72%
17%
11%
62 73 11 +1

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2006
SAO
São Paulo
3 - 3
Guaraní
GUA
85%
11%
4%
86 64 22 0
25 Jan. 2006
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 1
CA Juventus
JUV
96%
4%
1%
86 52 34 0
21 Jan. 2006
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
63%
21%
16%
86 81 5 0
18 Jan. 2006
SAN
Santo André
1 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
20%
21%
59%
86 69 17 0
18 Dec. 2005
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
31%
25%
45%
86 90 4 0
X