Marília vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAP
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
RIO
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
RIO
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |