Marília vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
BSP
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
MAR
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COM
3 - 3
NOR
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 2
SER
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
BSP
3 - 1
NOR
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
MAR
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
COM
2 - 2
NOR
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |