Marília vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
NOR
60%
21%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAX
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
8 - 1
CAX
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 2
CAX
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |