Marília vs Catanduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 1
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
FRA
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
3 - 1
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 0
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Catanduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 2
TUP
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 0
CAT
32%
23%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAT
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |