Marília vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 3
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
4 - 1
MAT
68%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BER
5 - 0
CAP
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 1
BAN
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 3
CAP
23%
24%
54%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |