Marignane vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SAE
2 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
GAZ
3 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 2
MAR
52%
27%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
AGD
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 0
HYE
43%
29%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
FCM
1 - 0
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SPO
4 - 1
AGD
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GAP
5 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPO
4 - 1
BOU
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |