St. Marienkirchen vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
76.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
MAR
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
NEU
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAD
5 - 2
MAR
82%
12%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
SSM
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
BAD
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
GRI
1 - 0
UNI
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
UNP
0 - 3
GRI
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 0
VOC
35%
25%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 0
GRI
16%
20%
65%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GRI
4 - 2
GMU
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |