Maribor vs Radomlje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
5º
3º
31
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
91.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
10º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
FCK
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
RAD
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
DOM
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ROG
0 - 0
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Radomlje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
RAD
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 0
DOM
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ROG
1 - 0
RAD
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
RAD
66%
19%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |