Campeonato de Portugal Grupo A. Jor. 13

Maria da Fonte vs Merelinense analysis

Maria da Fonte Merelinense
36 ELO 39
2.1% Tilt -6.2%
19687º General ELO ranking 19678º
298º Country ELO ranking 289º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Maria da Fonte
25.6%
Draw
34.6%
Merelinense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
Maria da Fonte
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.6%
Win probability
Merelinense
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maria da Fonte
-31%
-6%
Merelinense

ELO progression

Maria da Fonte
Merelinense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maria da Fonte
Maria da Fonte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2019
CER
Cerveira
1 - 1
Maria da Fonte
MAR
17%
19%
64%
36 23 13 0
17 Nov. 2019
MAR
Maria da Fonte
7 - 0
Câmara de Lobos
CAM
86%
10%
5%
36 17 19 0
10 Nov. 2019
MIR
Mirandela
0 - 1
Maria da Fonte
MAR
32%
25%
43%
36 32 4 0
03 Nov. 2019
MAR
Maria da Fonte
4 - 0
Montalegre
MON
44%
23%
32%
34 36 2 +2
27 Oct. 2019
UNM
União Madeira
2 - 3
Maria da Fonte
MAR
67%
20%
13%
33 42 9 +1

Matches

Merelinense
Merelinense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2019
MER
Merelinense
1 - 3
Vitória SC B
VSC
16%
21%
63%
40 52 12 0
17 Nov. 2019
MAR
Marítimo II
1 - 1
Merelinense
MER
49%
25%
26%
40 42 2 0
10 Nov. 2019
MER
Merelinense
3 - 0
Pedras Salgadas
PED
61%
21%
18%
39 33 6 +1
03 Nov. 2019
MIR
Mirandela
0 - 1
Merelinense
MER
29%
25%
47%
39 33 6 0
27 Oct. 2019
MON
Montalegre
3 - 4
Merelinense
MER
44%
26%
30%
38 37 1 +1
X