Maria da Fonte vs Dumiense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
13º
31
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 2
PEV
42%
25%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
MAR
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
SMA
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
DUM
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
SMA
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
DUM
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 1
VIA
38%
23%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |