Maria da Fonte vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
VFC
1 - 1
MAR
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
PED
69%
17%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
MER
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAR
26%
23%
50%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CER
0 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CER
0 - 2
PED
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
CER
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CER
0 - 2
AGU
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
MIR
29%
25%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |