Margate vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 2
MAR
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
BUR
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
KIN
2 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LEA
2 - 0
HAR
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
LEA
0 - 1
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
LEA
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
LEA
2 - 2
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LEA
0 - 1
HEN
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |