Margate vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
FAV
4 - 0
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
WIN
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BOW
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
50%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
HOR
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
HYT
0 - 1
DOV
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
DOV
1 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DOV
0 - 1
YEO
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SOL
3 - 0
DOV
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
DOV
5 - 1
FYL
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |