Non League Premier Isthmian round 38

Margate vs Cray Wanderers analysis

Margate Cray Wanderers
27 ELO 38
-2.8% Tilt -11.5%
8783º General ELO ranking 7225º
425º Country ELO ranking 317º
ELO win probability
20.5%
Margate
20.8%
Draw
58.7%
Cray Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
Margate
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.7%
Win probability
Cray Wanderers
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Margate
+38%
-11%
Cray Wanderers

Points and table prediction

Margate
Their league position
Cray Wanderers
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
19º
19º
50
14º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Hornchurch
100
100
100%
Chatham Town
79
79
100%
Enfield Town
77
77
100%
Wingate & Finchley
76
76
100%
Horsham
76
76
100%
Billericay Town
73
73
100%
Hastings United
67
67
100%
Lewes
67
67
100%
Whitehawk
65
65
100%
Carshalton Athletic
11º
62
62
10º
0%
Bognor Regis Town
10º
62
62
11º
0%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
12º
62
62
12º
0%
Hashtag United
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Canvey Island
14º
54
54
14º
100%
Potters Bar Town
15º
51
51
15º
100%
Folkestone Invicta
16º
50
50
16º
0%
Cray Wanderers
17º
50
50
17º
0%
Cheshunt
18º
43
43
18º
100%
Margate
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Haringey Borough
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Concord Rangers
21º
26
26
21º
100%
Kingstonian
22º
21
21
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Margate
Cray Wanderers
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Margate
Cray Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Margate
Margate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2024
CHE
Cheshunt
0 - 1
Margate
MAR
65%
19%
16%
25 33 8 0
23 Mar. 2024
MAR
Margate
1 - 1
Enfield Town
ENF
11%
15%
74%
24 43 19 +1
16 Mar. 2024
CAR
Carshalton Athletic
3 - 0
Margate
MAR
81%
12%
6%
25 42 17 -1
09 Mar. 2024
HTG
Hashtag United
4 - 2
Margate
MAR
75%
15%
10%
26 38 12 -1
02 Mar. 2024
MAR
Margate
1 - 3
Horsham
HOR
13%
22%
65%
28 47 19 -2

Matches

Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2024
CRA
Cray Wanderers
2 - 2
Chatham Town
CHA
34%
25%
41%
38 43 5 0
24 Mar. 2024
CRA
Cray Wanderers
0 - 1
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
63%
18%
19%
39 32 7 -1
16 Mar. 2024
HAR
Haringey Borough
0 - 4
Cray Wanderers
CRA
26%
22%
53%
38 29 9 +1
13 Mar. 2024
CRA
Cray Wanderers
1 - 2
Potters Bar Town
POT
47%
24%
29%
39 39 0 -1
27 Feb. 2024
WHI
Whitehawk
2 - 0
Cray Wanderers
CRA
31%
26%
43%
41 37 4 -2