Margate vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAR
26%
24%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 1
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
FAV
2 - 1
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AYL
2 - 4
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 2
WOR
44%
23%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 2
CRA
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
3 - 1
LEW
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
STA
3 - 0
CRA
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UXB
1 - 3
CRA
20%
20%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |