National League South . Jor. 15

Margate vs Concord Rangers analysis

Margate Concord Rangers
38 ELO 33
8.4% Tilt 5.4%
8304º General ELO ranking 8524º
444º Country ELO ranking 462º
ELO win probability
65.8%
Margate
19%
Draw
15.2%
Concord Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
Margate
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.2%
Win probability
Concord Rangers
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Margate
+5%
-21%
Concord Rangers

ELO progression

Margate
Concord Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Margate
Margate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2016
MAR
Margate
1 - 3
Harrow Borough
HAR
58%
21%
21%
40 32 8 0
15 Oct. 2016
HAR
Harrow Borough
2 - 2
Margate
MAR
27%
24%
49%
40 32 8 0
11 Oct. 2016
HAS
Hastings United
1 - 2
Margate
MAR
27%
23%
50%
39 29 10 +1
08 Oct. 2016
MAR
Margate
2 - 1
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
26%
22%
52%
38 45 7 +1
04 Oct. 2016
MAR
Margate
2 - 2
Hastings United
HAS
64%
20%
16%
38 28 10 0

Matches

Concord Rangers
Concord Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2016
CON
Concord Rangers
2 - 4
Hungerford Town
HUN
31%
26%
43%
34 43 9 0
24 Sep. 2016
DAR
Dartford
2 - 1
Concord Rangers
CON
68%
19%
13%
35 45 10 -1
17 Sep. 2016
CON
Concord Rangers
1 - 3
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
49%
23%
27%
36 35 1 -1
13 Sep. 2016
CON
Concord Rangers
0 - 1
Wealdstone
WEA
30%
25%
46%
37 45 8 -1
10 Sep. 2016
WES
Weston-super-Mare
1 - 2
Concord Rangers
CON
64%
20%
16%
36 41 5 +1
X