Margate vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
BOR
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BIL
0 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 4
MAI
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
HAR
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
MAI
0 - 2
HOR
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 3
BOR
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
AFC
1 - 0
HOR
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 1
TON
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
WEA
2 - 0
HOR
27%
23%
49%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |