Olympique Marcquois vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
4º
36
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marcquois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AAC
1 - 3
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
COM
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
AMI
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 3
MAR
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VIM
0 - 2
VAL
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 0
LON
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIM
35%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIM
0 - 1
ESW
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |