Olympique Marcquois vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
4º
47
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marcquois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
AAC
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIL
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
IRI
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 2
VAL
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
VIM
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
VAL
23%
24%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
USM
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |