Marcílio Dias vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUV
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAX
37%
30%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 2
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
JEC
3 - 0
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
AIM
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
RIO
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 4
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |