Marcílio Dias vs Juventus SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAM
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MAF
0 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
FFC
0 - 0
MAR
17%
20%
63%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
MAF
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
JUV
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 2
FFC
69%
17%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
JAR
3 - 2
JUV
13%
17%
69%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |