Marcílio Dias vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 2
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
ECP
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVA
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
AIM
38%
28%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
0 - 0
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
JEC
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JEC
1 - 3
CAC
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FFL
0 - 0
JEC
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 1
UBE
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |