Marcílio Dias vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FFL
0 - 1
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
BRU
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 0
ITU
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRU
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BRU
4 - 0
SDJ
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |