Marchena Balompié vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+509%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchena Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
OSU
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
ADC
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
NUE
4 - 4
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
BEN
0 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
SOL
3 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARH
4 - 1
PIL
29%
25%
45%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARH
3 - 2
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARH
2 - 0
ADC
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -5 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARH
2 - 2
NUE
26%
25%
50%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +5 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARH
0 - 0
CAB
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |