Maranhão vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 3
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
ALT
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 3
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 4
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
CEN
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
FLO
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |