Maranhão vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNI
18%
25%
57%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 3
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
ALT
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 1
CEN
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 0
ALT
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
CEN
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 1
CEN
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |