Maracena vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 1
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
TOR
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDE
2 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LOJ
0 - 2
ANT
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 2
LOJ
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LOJ
1 - 1
CDE
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
POL
2 - 2
LOJ
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |