Maracena vs FC Málaga City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
12º
15º
13º
25
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAL
21%
26%
53%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
UDT
4 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FC Málaga City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 2
ALM
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 0
CDM
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
MAL
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UDT
2 - 0
CDM
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 1
ARE
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |