Mansfield Town vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
KID
2 - 1
MAN
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
TRA
3 - 1
MAN
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
BPO
3 - 3
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
NTT
2 - 0
SUN
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SUN
0 - 4
ARS
12%
22%
67%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SUN
0 - 1
NEW
19%
25%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
MAC
3 - 0
SUN
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |