Mansfield Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 2
MAN
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BOS
0 - 0
MAN
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
YOR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
YOR
1 - 1
MAN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
KID
0 - 3
MAN
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
YOR
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 1
NEW
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
WRE
31%
29%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
ALF
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 0
DAR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |