Mansfield Town vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
58.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 3
MAN
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 2
ALF
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
LIN
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
4 - 1
EBB
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 3
MAN
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
SUN
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
QPR
0 - 3
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
STO
3 - 1
LIV
32%
27%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LIV
4 - 0
FUL
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 3
ASV
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |