Mansfield Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
DON
2 - 3
MAN
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
SUT
2 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 1
SCU
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
STE
1 - 2
MAN
43%
28%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 2
STF
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
LIN
23%
24%
54%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 0
WAL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 2
TOW
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 1
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |