Marchfeld vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
NEU
1 - 2
MAN
29%
22%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
4 - 4
MAU
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 0
FCM
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
DRA
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SVS
1 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
VIE
3 - 1
WIE
74%
15%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ADM
1 - 1
VIE
16%
21%
62%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
NEU
0 - 4
VIE
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
VIE
2 - 0
MAU
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FCM
0 - 1
VIE
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |