Marchfeld vs Mauerwerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
8º
6º
41
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
83% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
4 - 3
MAN
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCW
2 - 1
MAN
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
ASV
52%
22%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAN
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
ELE
65%
19%
15%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mauerwerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAU
2 - 2
SCW
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAU
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAU
5 - 2
LEI
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ELE
6 - 0
MAU
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAU
2 - 2
LEO
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |