Marchfeld vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
SCR
4 - 2
MAN
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 0
SPR
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 0
ZWE
47%
22%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
OBE
0 - 4
MAN
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
WUR
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 3
GAF
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
WAI
3 - 3
ARD
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
KOT
8 - 0
ARD
68%
20%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ARD
3 - 2
SPR
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |