Manly United vs Parramatta Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SYD
1 - 1
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
SUT
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -3 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAE
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAN
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 0
SYD
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAE
0 - 0
API
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 3
PAE
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAE
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PAE
0 - 1
ROC
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
PAE
0 - 0
BLA
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |