Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SYD
2 - 1
MAN
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 2
SYD
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
SYD
2 - 0
MAN
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
WSW
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
ROC
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
API
0 - 0
NSM
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
API
0 - 1
SYD
72%
17%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
API
2 - 1
WSW
83%
12%
6%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
API
1 - 4
WOL
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
API
1 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |