Mangotsfield United vs Worcester Raiders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
62.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mangotsfield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
HER
71%
16%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HPF
3 - 2
MAN
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 5
FAI
64%
18%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
LON
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 5
MAN
23%
22%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Worcester Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FAI
1 - 2
WRF
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WRF
3 - 0
COR
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
WRF
3 - 3
PTC
72%
15%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
WRF
18%
18%
64%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LON
1 - 3
WRF
14%
17%
69%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |