Man. Utd Sub 23 vs Derby County Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. Utd Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
DER
2 - 6
MUN
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
MUN
4 - 2
CHE
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 0
MUN
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 3
WHU
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
TOT
3 - 0
MUN
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
DER
2 - 6
MUN
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 2
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
BHA
3 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
DER
2 - 3
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
TOT
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |