noscript image

Carabao Cup. 1/16

Man. Utd vs West Ham analysis

Man. Utd West Ham
90 ELO 80
30% Tilt 45%
17º General ELO ranking 80º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66.4%
Man. Utd
16.7%
Draw
16.8%
West Ham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
Man. Utd
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.8%
Win probability
West Ham
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%