Manchester United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 2
MAC
30%
25%
45%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
MUD
1 - 0
WOL
63%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 2
MUD
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
31%
25%
43%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
SWA
2 - 1
WAT
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
HUR
2 - 0
WAT
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 1
BRE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BIR
0 - 1
WAT
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |