Manchester United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
WOL
2 - 1
MUD
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 0
MUD
38%
25%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
PSG
1 - 3
MUD
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MUD
3 - 2
SOU
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
CRY
1 - 3
MUD
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
WAT
2 - 1
CRY
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
WAT
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
WAT
2 - 1
LEI
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
LIV
5 - 0
WAT
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 5
WAT
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |